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Written by SOT.COM.AL 26 Maj 2022

In parallel with the war in Ukraine, Taiwan's plague suddenly reopened. No conflict has erupted in the China Sea, but the dangerous winds of war have returned. Joe Biden's recent statements have shaken the fragile geopolitical balance. That's not all, because Biden added a detail that should not be overlooked: The United States would be ready to militarily defend Taiwan if China tries to invade the island by force. Indirectly, Washington has spread a veil of uncertainty over the so-called strategic uncertainty that has guided U.S. moves on the subject for decades. Following this statement, a joint program has been launched against China as it prepares nuclear bombers. This is the challenge from an alliance made up of the United States, Japan, India and Australia, which aims to monitor Beijing's activities in the Pacific Sea. "This is more than a European issue. "It's a global problem," said Joe Biden, the White House chief of staff, accusing the Kremlin of "exterminating Ukrainian identity." The alliance reiterated its strong opposition to Xi Jinping's desire to take control of Taiwan, launching an invasion modeled on that of Ukraine by Vladimir Putin. How can all this be put into practice? With Maritime Domain Awareness, a satellite system capable of monitoring the maritime traffic of the People's Republic. Officially, the aim is to curb illegal activities, namely poaching and smuggling. Unofficially, the aspiration is to have control over every military move. The White House handout speaks to the fight against dark ships, which is smuggling of all kinds, starting with the passage of oil at sea, used by Iran and North Korea to circumvent sanctions, and now also approved by Russia. In response, Beijing has sent its nuclear-capable bombers, along with Russian fighters, to Taiwan for joint air maneuvers. A real provocation, where North Korea also intervened. The country under Kim Jong-un control has launched three ballistic missiles from the Sunan area in Pyongyang towards the Sea of ??Japan, just hours after the end of Biden's visit to Asia. evaded sanctions, and now adopted by Russia as well. In response, Beijing has sent its nuclear-capable bombers, along with Russian fighters, to Taiwan for joint air maneuvers. A real provocation, where North Korea also intervened. The country under Kim Jong-un control has launched three ballistic missiles from the Sunan area in Pyongyang towards the Sea of ??Japan, just hours after the end of Biden's visit to Asia. evaded sanctions, and now adopted by Russia as well. In response, Beijing has sent its nuclear-capable bombers, along with Russian fighters, to Taiwan for joint air maneuvers. A real provocation, where North Korea also intervened. The country under Kim Jong-un control has launched three ballistic missiles from the Sunan area in Pyongyang towards the Sea of ??Japan, just hours after the end of Biden's visit to Asia.
Ambiguity and strategic defense
In any case, Biden's statements sparked many reactions. Of course, the US president downplayed the possibility that China might try to take over Taiwan, but he also reiterated the importance of sending a loud and clear message to the Chinese government. A message as simple as it is potentially dangerous for any reaction: there will be serious consequences if Beijing takes such an action. Why did Biden feel the need to make this concept clear? The feeling is that, after the war that broke out in Ukraine, predicted in advance by Washington, but that broke out anyway, the United States wants to draw a clear and visible red line. An even clearer line than the one drawn at the time in an attempt to avert Moscow-planned attack, with a not-so-clear rear-view mirror. The Wall Street Journal quoted a White House official as saying that Biden's claims would in no way dictate a change in US policy toward Taiwan. The US president would simply refer to the United States's obligation to strengthen Taipei's ability to defend itself, as actually defined by the Taiwan Relations Act. This act, passed in 1979, implies any attempt to determine Taiwan's political future through anything other than peaceful means, such as the threat to American interests. The aforementioned position, often defined as strategic uncertainty, has so far always aimed to ensure that neither Taipei nor Beijing felt confident enough to make moves that would disrupt the status quo.
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