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Bota

This is the most fantastic news we have received since the outbreak of the pandemic that is terrifying the world

This is the most fantastic news we have received since the outbreak of the

The success of vaccination and the relief after the reduction of the numbers of infections create optimism for the situation in the economy. The European economy will grow faster this year and next.

According to calculations from Brussels, Europe can hope for a speedy economic recovery from the Corona crisis. "The EU expects to return to pre-crisis levels in the fourth quarter of 2021," EU Economy Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni said on Wednesday (May 12th). According to forecasts made in the spring by the EU Commission, the debt quota in euro area countries is expected to reach a new level with over 102 percent of gross domestic product.

The European Commission has meanwhile revised forecasts and now claims that economic growth in 2021 in the 27 EU countries will be 4.2 percent. Economic growth of 3.7% was forecast in February. While for 2022 an increase of 4.4% is forecast, while previously it was said that the increase will be 3.9 percent.

The Brussels authorities are now very close to the forecasts of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which forecasts economic growth in the euro area of ??4.4 percent.

The pre-crisis level faster than expected

Brussels was previously of the opinion that the EU economy will not reach the levels of economic development before the pandemic until 2022. The statements so far have taken into account the limitations so far due to the Corona pandemic. But economic growth is also driven by private consumption, investment and a growing demand for exports of goods from the EU to other countries.

Commissioner Gentiloni said that the rapid recovery of the world economy as well as the Economic Recovery Fund are among the main reasons for the positive developments. Thanks to the 750 billion-euro fund, investment in manufacturing could reach its highest level in ten years.

EU Economic Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni The
situation in Germany is better than expected

Sipas Komisionit të BE, Spanja mund të shpresojë rritjen më të madhe ekonomike gjatë vitit 2021, me rreth gjashtë përqind. Franca gjithashtu mund të ketë një rritje të lartë me rreth 5,7 përqind. Një rritje më të vogël ekonomike mund të kenë Holanda (2,3 përqind) ose Gjermania (3,4%). Por pasojat e pandemisë Corona në këto dy vende kanë qenë më të vogla sesa në vendet e tjera.

Shoqata e Industrisë Gjermane (BDI) pret që ekonomia të rritet ndjeshëm këtë vit. "Ne presim që prodhimi industrial në Gjermani të rritet me tetë përqind në vitin 2021", deklaroi të mërkurën drejtori i BDI Joachim Lang. Kjo do t'i japë fund recesionit më të gjatë në industrinë gjermane që ka zgjatur për më shumë se dy vjet. Sipas raportit të BDI, prodhimi në Gjermani ka rënë në industri rreth 9,8 përqind vetëm gjatë vitit të kaluar.

Borxhet

Borxhi i vendeve anëtare të BE është në rrugën e një rekordi të ri. Deri në vitin 2020, borxhi i përgjithshëm i vendeve të zonës së euros ka arritur në 100 përqind të prodhimit ekonomik. Komisioni parashikon që sivjet borxhet në zonën e euros do të rriten në 102,4 përqind. Ndërsa në vitin 2022, niveli i borxheve do të bjerë në 100,8 përqind të prodhimit ekonomik. Borxhi i përgjithshëm i pritur i të gjitha vendeve të BE-së është pak më i ulët -  94,4 përqind i prodhimit ekonomik.

Greqia është ende në gjendjen më të keqe, me një pritje borxhi prej rreth 208,8 përqind gjatë vitit 2021. Në vendin e dytë është Italia me pak më pak se 160 përqind, e ndjekur nga Portugalia me 127 përqind. Edhe në Spanjë, Francë, Belgjikë dhe Qipro, borxhi tejkalon prodhimin ekonomik.

Brussels expects unemployment to reach its peak in 2021. For the EU as a whole, the Commission expects unemployment to rise by 7.6 percent. Last year unemployment was 7.1 percent. According to the forecast, the situation in the labor market will ease slightly in 2022, but unemployment will not yet reach the level it was before the pandemic.

According to the Commission, the risks to the economy will remain, as long as the shadow of the current crisis due to the Corona pandemic is not overcome. The level of infections, but also the effects of vaccination can be among the factors that significantly influence the economic situation./dw

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