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The alarm is raised/ Experts give a frightening warning to the world: The consequences will be severe...

Written by SOT.COM.AL 9 Qershor 2023

A serious warning comes from 50 of the world's leading scientists that record high greenhouse gas emissions and reductions in air pollution have caused an unprecedented acceleration of global warming. From 2013 to 2022, "warming due to human activities is increasing at an unprecedented rate of more than 0.2 degrees Celsius per decade," the scientists reported in a peer-reviewed study for policymakers.
Average annual emissions over the same period reached a record 54 billion tons of CO2 or the equivalent of other greenhouse gases, which is about 1,700 tons every second. World leaders will receive new data at this year's COP28 climate summit in Dubai, where progress towards the goals of the 2015 Paris climate agreement will be discussed. "Although we have not yet reached 1.5 degrees of warming, the carbon budget or the amount of greenhouse gases that humans can emit without exceeding that threshold is likely to be exceeded in just a few years," said the report's lead author, Piers Forster, professor of physics at the University of Leeds. That estimate has halved since the UN's climate advisory body, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), compiled data for its latest 2021 report,
To have a 50 percent chance of stopping warming below the 1.5 degree Celsius threshold, emissions of CO2, methane and other global warming gases, which are mostly caused by the burning of fossil fuels, must not exceed 250 billion ours, the scientists pointed out. Improving the outlook by two-thirds or four-fifths would increase the room for maneuver to 150 or 100 billion tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions, which is two to three years more at the current rate of emissions.
In order for the Paris climate goals to remain in play, carbon dioxide pollution will need to be reduced by at least 40 percent by 2030 and eliminated entirely by mid-century, according to IPCC calculations. Ironically, one of the great climate success stories of the past decade inadvertently accelerated the pace of global warming, new data show. The gradual reduction in the use of coal, which is significantly more polluting than oil or gas, for power generation has slowed the growth of carbon emissions. But it also reduced air pollution that protects the Earth from the full force of the Sun's rays. Fine particle pollution from all sources moderates warming by about half a degree Celsius, meaning that, at least in the short term,
I publikuar në revistën Earth System Science Data, hulumtimi i ri është i pari në një seri analizash periodike të gjendjes që do të ndihmojë në plotësimin e boshllëqeve midis raporteve të IPCC, të cilat janë botuar mesatarisht çdo gjashtë vjet që nga viti 1988. Një nga autoret e raportit, Valerie Masson-Delmotte, tha se të dhënat e reja duhet të jenë një “thirrje zgjimi” përpara samitit COP28, megjithëse ka prova se rritja e sasisë së gazeve serrë në atmosferë është ngadalësuar. “Ritmi dhe shkalla e veprimit klimatik nuk është e mjaftueshme për të kufizuar përshkallëzimin e rreziqeve të lidhura me klimën”, paralajmëroi ajo. Shkencëtarët kanë raportuar gjithashtu një rritje të habitshme të temperaturës në sipërfaqet e tokës, me përjashtim të oqeaneve, që nga viti 2000.
"The mean annual maximum temperatures on earth have increased by more than half a degree Celsius in the last ten years (1.72 degrees above pre-industrial conditions) compared to the first decade of the millennium (1.22 degrees)," the study said. . Longer and more intense heat waves will be a life-threatening threat in the coming decades in large parts of South and Southeast Asia and in equatorial regions of Africa and Latin America, a new study shows.
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