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Opinion / Editorial

Trouble in Putin's "paradise."

Trouble in Putin's "paradise."

By Florion Metohu

It seems that it will not be a calm end to the new year for the new "Tsar" of Russia, Vladimir Putin. A conclusion that, if you look back, in the first half of 2020, no analyst would have predicted.

In fact, that period was a truly triumphant expression of what many international policy experts describe Putin as an extraordinary strategist of the world geopolitical game. A strategist who has managed to play international relations chess better than his Western opponents.

The relative success of military intervention in the Syrian conflict, alongside Bashar al-Assad, and coordination with the Ayatollah's regime in Iran appear to have strongly turned Russia into the Middle East. This success galvanized Moscow for another intervention in the arms of the Libyan rebels against the legitimate UN-recognized Tripoli authority.

But most troubling to Western elites was the extraordinary propaganda and disinformation campaign the Kremlin used during the first half of this year to delegitimize and denigrate Western democratic institutions. A campaign to describe these institutions in the eyes of its citizens as incapable of successfully coping with the Covid-19 pandemic, originating in China, which plagued the world.

The case of Italy was one of the most egregious in the expression of this disinformation campaign, also confirmed by the European External Action Service, but supported by some extreme left and right Italian media, in order to make a "new friend" for themselves. within the EU. The Russian military began sending medical aid to Italy after receiving an order from President Vladimir Putin, a gesture of goodwill that Moscow labeled "From Russia with Love."

Of course, all that propaganda relied on the relatively low number of infected people declared by official Moscow, amplifying the narrative of an efficient and effective state in dealing with the health crisis, compared to Western countries. If you count the real concealment of the sick numbers and the pomp with which the Russian authorities found the discovery of a functional vaccine against Covid-19, what the Kremlin propaganda sold as the "Sputnic 2" moment, then the whole the framework of the disinformation campaign is completed in order to bombard the western public and delegitimize all democratic institutions.

But things have changed a lot lately. The famous Russian vaccine against Covid-19 has no name or mark on it and no one in the Kremlin talks about it anymore. Russia has also begun opening temporary clinics to cope with the growing number of coronavirus patients, as the number of deaths from the virus nationwide has exceeded 25,000. New daily infections hit a record, with authorities reporting 15,971 cases of coronavirus, bringing the total nationwide to 1,463,306, the fourth highest in the world. Official Moscow has declared the closure of the entire border by the end of the year in order to reduce infections and is the clearest sign of fraud in the production of a vaccine.

With health emergencies not enough, Vladimir Putin, who has always wanted to portray himself as a strong statesman and guarantor of stability, at home and abroad, is now facing a series of crises among his country’s neighbors, added another unwanted proof of Moscow's role as regional guarantor.

From Belarus to the Caucasus, the Kremlin cannot leave the consequences of these crises to fate. However, the post-Soviet region has been atomized, Russia's economic power has faded, and consequently its influential and imposing power has diminished, apparently reducing the appetite for Moscow military intervention.

Gjithashtu nuk është më fuqia e vetme rajon. Ashtu siç e përkufizon Clara Ferreira Marques në një shkrim për Bloomberg, pas viteve trazirash dhe izolimit të shtuar të Rusisë, oborri i shtëpisë së Moskës nuk është më ai që ishte. Një botë multi-polare po shfaqet, por jo ajo që Putin ka kërkuar të promovojë. Kina është gjithnjë e më e pranishme si një partner kryesor tregtar dhe përbën pjesën më të madhe të investimeve të huaja direkte në Azinë Qendrore. Pastaj është Turqia në Kaukaz dhe Irani. Udhëheqësi turk Rexhep Tajip Erdogan ka përdorur me shkathtësi konflikte të jashtme për të forcuar mbështetjen e tij të brendshme.

According to various international policy analysts, this may be the most difficult period that Vladimir Putin may have gone through during the entire 20-year period of his "reign". Of course the aura of hegemony is still there, fueled by the Kremlin, which sees a superpower role for Russia everywhere, from Libya to the post-Soviet states. But the country was ill-prepared for a global health crisis and for various crises along its border, which should have been predictable.